Tianjin Fangxinda Bulk Commodity Analysis Guidance
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Overnight, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes did not provide guidance to the market, and the performance was uneventful after being released. On the contrary, gold and silver experienced a rapid rise and fall in the early hours of the US market. International spot gold hit the lowest level of the US dollar and then quickly pulled back, but in the end it was still difficult to change the intraday decline, and fell to the US dollar. International spot silver performed better than gold, reaching the lowest level of the previous day's low of US$3.00 and then quickly rebounded to the daily high. The U.S. dollar closed at . The U.S. dollar fell. The daily line closes the small real body Yinxian with a long shadow line.
Yesterday, the market's focus was on the minutes of the Federal Reserve's March meeting. The minutes showed increased divisions among committee members at the meeting and stressed the importance of data in decision-making. The overall information revealed in the minutes is more biased than the meeting statement, but it also basically eliminated expectations of a rate hike in April. Overall, the minutes have limited impact on the market. The author believes that this biased summary, the dovish statement and Chairman Yellen’s dovish views form a short-term check and balance, so the market is currently difficult to distinguish between bulls and bears.
Technical analysis of spot silver
The daily line recorded a small negative column with an upper and lower shadow line. The World Bank is still in the process of adjusting and repairing last Friday's non-agricultural data and is expected to After the adjustment is completed, the price will rise to a certain extent. In the long term, the price will run in the channel between the middle track and the lower track of the Bollinger Bands, and the opening of the Bollinger Bands will tend to tighten. It is expected that there will be a strong trend of long and short competition. In the short and medium term, the price will maintain a shock and rebound structure. It is expected that there will be a slight correction. We still need to be cautious about the risk of further price fall. Silver has repeatedly shown upward rebound corrections. However, the daily line It has been unable to break through the daily suppression, and the silver price has fallen into range fluctuations. It is recommended to focus on long-term corrections in the short term. Looking at the four-hour chart, the price maintains the development of a micro downward channel. It is currently under pressure after approaching the upper edge of the channel. Be wary of repeated weakness below the pressure during the day.
Reference operation suggestions:
If silver falls, go long near 3, stop loss by 1 pip, target 3
If silver rebounds, go short near 3, stop loss with 3 pips, target 3
As for the technical analysis of asphalt, judging from the daily chart, yesterday's daily line received a physical small positive, the Bollinger Bands contracted, and the lines were organized around the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The overall moving average moved downwards and diverged. In the short period, / cross The dead cross forms a rebound pressure level nearby. The indicators in the attached picture are running crosswise with the upper part of the axis. The weak layout of the green kinetic energy column indicator suggests analysis. From the four-hour chart, yesterday's four-hour chart continued to close positive, rising steadily. The Bollinger Bands are shrinking, and the line breaks through the middle rail of the Bollinger Bands and runs below the upper rail of the Bollinger Bands. The upward channel is opened. The bulls have been more dominant in the near future. In the short cycle, the / cross golden cross runs with the nearby area, which continues to support upwards in the near future. The lower part of the inner focus is on the nearby area. The indicators in the attached picture are running golden crosses with the lower part of the axis. The red kinetic energy column indicator is running strongly with heavy volume. On the whole, it is expected that the bulls of spot crude oil and asphalt will occupy the top position in the near future, so today's operation will continue to go long with a pullback. You can
Please refer to the specific operation suggestions
. When the asphalt price rebounds to - near, go short, stop loss a point, and the target is 3-
. When the asphalt price hits - near, go long, stop loss a point, Target look
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