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' U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Yellen said that the economy is on the path to further raising interest rates, and she hopes to go further before raising interest rates and then reducing the size of assets and liabilities. It was the first time in history that Yellen appeared on the same stage as the three former chairs of the Federal Reserve. Current Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen and former Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke, Greenspan and Volcker attended public events and participated in discussions in New York. However, after the chairman of the Federal Reserve leaves office, he avoids providing opinions to the current chairman in public. Former Chairman Volcker, who took office in 2001, was known for his successful fight against inflation. Greenspan, who succeeded him, dealt with multiple crises during the year and supported economic growth with low interest rates, while Bernanke, who succeeded him, had to deal with the recession that plunged the U.S. economy into recession after the collapse of investment bank Lehman Brothers. From the current point of view, the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy remains unchanged as expected. Yellen's speech reiterated the dovish tone, emphasizing that interest rates should be raised cautiously and slowly. It is almost impossible to raise interest rates in April. In addition, the monetary policy divergence in Europe and the United States remains, and the US dollar is relatively weak relative to other countries. The currency is still quite attractive. The latest non-farm payroll data shows that the U.S. economic growth is relatively resilient. The Federal Reserve minutes show that there are differences of opinion among Fed officials on raising interest rates. The probability of raising interest rates in June has increased. London silver trading day (month day) opened at .USD/oz, with an intraday high of .3 USD/oz, and a minimum of .USD/oz. The daily closing price was .USD/oz, closing on the upper shadow Yang line. During today's Asian session, silver prices fluctuated in a range.
' Fundamental Analysis
' After the Federal Reserve released meeting minutes on Wednesday suggesting that it was impossible to raise interest rates in April, the European Central Bank also released the minutes of last month's meeting on Thursday, which showed that the European Central Bank would consider a significant interest rate cut. After declining, it still fluctuated around the . level, global stock markets performed poorly, and safe-haven buying returned to help gold and silver rise. In terms of crude oil, although data showed that U.S. crude oil inventories unexpectedly fell, inventories in the Cushing area are still rising. At the same time, Iraq’s average daily crude oil exports have increased month-on-month since April. However, Baker Hughes data showed that the number of active drilling rigs in the United States continued to decline, and oil prices fell first. Houyang fell slightly. The market focus this week is on the March meeting minutes of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, which are helpful for funds to understand the decision-making process and central bank thinking. Friday's data front is dull, with industrial production in Europe likely to have declined in the UK and France. In the Asia-Pacific region, Japan's current account surplus is expected to expand compared with the previous period. At present, the Federal Reserve maintains its interest rate policy unchanged as expected by the market. The March resolution statement and Yellen's speech revealed dovish signals, emphasizing the risks posed by global economic and financial market turbulence to the U.S. economy. Interest rates should be raised cautiously and slowly. The dot plot shows that the Federal Reserve The number of interest rate increases per year may be two. The market has different opinions on the path of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. From monitoring, it can be seen that the chance of raising interest rates in the year is , and the chance of raising interest rates in the month is , which is seen in the month. If the chance of raising interest rates rises, it will be negative for gold and silver in the short term, and vice versa, it will be good for gold and silver. The U.S. dollar index broke and rebounded but still returned to around the . level, and gold and silver may find support on dips. The U.S. 10-year bond yield fluctuated downwards, and gold and silver are expected to be supported by dips. The world's largest silver holdings have increased, and funds seem to be optimistic about silver's future performance again. The news is mixed with bulls and bears, and silver prices need to be wary of significant fluctuations under the influence of unexpected news.
Evening technical analysis of spot asphalt:
Looking at the daily chart, spot asphalt closed at a small negative column with upper and lower leads yesterday. The upper high point can clearly be seen to be under pressure after touching the moving average, while the lower The support position touched the moving average and then rebounded upward. The indicator in the sub-picture is a dead cross with heavy volume, but the momentum of the green energy column has weakened, and both the R indicator and the R indicator are showing a golden cross upward trend.
Looking at the hourly chart, spot asphalt is currently in the enthusiasm of the bulls. Since the morning, it has directly broken through the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and has shown a ladder upward trend. At present, the asphalt price has directly broken through the 3 line, whether it is The perfect break depends on the strength of the current pushback. If the position is broken perfectly, the flat trend of the third track of the Bollinger Bands will be opened, and the asphalt price will continue to rise.
Night operation suggestions for spot asphalt:
, go long asphalt price 3, stop loss 3, target 3 to
, go short asphalt price 3, stop loss 3, target 3 to 3.
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