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Technical Analysis
From a technical point of view, on the daily chart, silver prices closed with a strong positive line on the previous trading day, the US dollar continued to fluctuate weakly, and oil prices hit a four-month high due to the production freeze and speculation, providing support for silver prices. Good support. It should be noted that due to the coexistence of silver's monetary attributes and commodity attributes, and the impact of fluctuations in gold and oil prices, silver is more likely to form a wide-ranging trend. In addition, the recent increase in the holdings of the world's largest silver may imply that there is room for growth in the market outlook following the stock market, so we should pay close attention to it. From a long-term perspective, the price of silver has not yet gotten rid of the bear market trend. From the hourly chart, the price of silver fluctuated repeatedly in the early stage. Now it has broken through the downward trend and then fluctuated upward again. If industrial demand follows the recovery of the stock market and the US dollar continues to fall, the price of silver will It is expected to perform better than gold prices. The Federal Reserve's March interest rate meeting decided to maintain the previous interest rate policy unchanged. Yellen's speech reiterated the dovish tone. However, Fed officials have different opinions on raising interest rates. Future policy prospects still depend on the performance of economic data. If the U.S. economic data is not satisfactory, The price of silver is expected to rebound due to the weakness of the US dollar. On the contrary, it needs to be wary of turning around and falling. The news is mixed with bulls and bears. The latest non-agricultural data clearly shows the strong resilience of U.S. economic growth. The market will pay close attention to future changes in inflation, wages, employment growth and other indicators. The probability that the Federal Reserve will adopt a radical monetary policy of continued tightening is very small. However, the good performance of economic data may increase the probability of short-term interest rate hikes. Therefore, it is recommended to follow the trend during the day and focus on short selling on highs or chasing orders beyond the range.
Early morning: U.S. crude oil inventory data, the previous value was 0.000 barrels, and the actual published value was 0.3 million barrels. The data is significantly negative for crude oil prices. Oil prices rose as high as .USD/barrel and were blocked. They are currently in a negative downward trend, quoted at .3USD. For intraday support, focus on the price of .USD/barrel.
European and American trading technical analysis:
On the daily chart, the alkane price is blocked by the B upper track and is currently in the correction and recovery trend. The author recommends that during the European trading period, continue to pay attention to the B middle track when it goes down. In addition, the B middle track There are many moving average golden crosses with heavy volume. After the European market correction was supported, gold and silver took profits and waited for the opportunity to continue to go long on dips. You can refer to the long point:.
Evening: Specific analysis strategy for U.S. crude oil inventory data:
Previous value 30,000 barrels, expected value 10,000 barrels
, published value 10,000 barrels > expected value 10,000 barrels, published value greater than expected value, inventory The increase is negative for oil prices. In operation, high short selling is the main reference short selling point: , position
, the announced value is 10,000 barrels < the previous value. 10,000 barrels, the announced value is less than the previous value, the inventory is increasing, which is good for oil prices, and the operation is positive. The main reference is to do long at low position: 3 positions